Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.016611 0.020798 0.026301 0.034304 0.046079 0.063564 0.093247
2025-01-19 0.012214 0.016904 0.024076 0.036686 0.060520 0.109936 0.247152
2025-01-26 0.010320 0.015279 0.023711 0.040857 0.081029 0.197773 0.826664
2025-02-02 0.009099 0.014185 0.023587 0.045207 0.107133 0.369133 4.766795
2025-02-09 0.007852 0.012655 0.022044 0.045566 0.124085 0.591014 68.641747
2025-02-16 0.006936 0.011492 0.020825 0.046039 0.143283 0.991171 NaN
2025-02-23 0.006198 0.010503 0.019669 0.046087 0.162391 1.714439 NaN
2025-03-02 0.005452 0.009362 0.017877 0.043394 0.165608 2.420184 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004920 0.008566 0.016706 0.042166 0.176488 4.041207 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004577 0.008110 0.016243 0.043126 0.204923 10.577800 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004254 0.007645 0.015653 0.043386 0.231236 35.804146 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003886 0.007034 0.014565 0.041291 0.234369 90.204075 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003552 0.006504 0.013714 0.040329 0.254785 2801.351715 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003378 0.006312 0.013753 0.043302 0.339424 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.003275 0.006266 0.014188 0.048567 0.513654 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003174 0.006203 0.014562 0.054111 0.805626 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002980 0.005887 0.014072 0.054572 0.994256 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002811 0.005609 0.013644 0.055178 1.250244 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002651 0.005335 0.013172 0.055239 1.539852 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002457 0.004953 0.012263 0.051795 1.507508 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002309 0.004675 0.011664 0.050231 1.650534 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002212 0.004521 0.011466 0.051453 2.240342 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002113 0.004348 0.011168 0.051784 2.895844 NaN NaN